Dubai Residential Rental Impact
Iran Conflict — Market Response Analysis · Shosty Real Estate
⚠ Live Monitoring
Iran Conflict began 28 Feb 2026 — Day 12 of monitoring
Pre-conflict baseline · Jan 6 – Feb 27 (53 days)
Post-conflict window · Feb 28 – Mar 14 (15 days)
Ramadan began · Feb 18 · negligible seasonal effect (−3.7% New in 2024)
Airspace status · Partial closure — inbound migration suppressed
City-wide Impact Summary
New Contracts / Day
Pre-conflict avg 851.6 /day

Post-conflict avg 563.1 /day
▼ 33.9%
Renewed Contracts / Day
Pre-conflict avg 1,397.9 /day

Post-conflict avg 1,112.1 /day
▼ 20.4%
Total Contracts / Day
Pre-conflict avg 2,249.5 /day

Post-conflict avg 1,675.2 /day
▼ 25.5%
Signal Interpretation

New −33.9% reflects inbound migration halt — airspace closure preventing new arrivals

Renewals −20.4% — concerning; renewals are contractually driven. Suggests residents hedging or departing

Daily Contract Volume — Jan 1 to Mar 14, 2026
Bars = daily volume · Line = 7-day rolling average · Vertical markers = key events
New contracts
Renewed contracts
7-day rolling avg
Conflict start
Ramadan start
Community-Level Breakdown
217 communities · averages per day · sorted by pre-conflict volume
Community Total New Contracts Renewals
Pre /day Post /day Pre /day Post /day Δ New Pre /day Post /day Δ Renewed